Alfonso Esparza

Dollar Weaker Ahead of US Jobs Report

Fed Chair nomination and concerns with tax reform pressure USD The US dollar is lower against major pairs ahead of the release of the U.S. non farm payrolls (NFP) on Friday, November 3 at 8:30 am EDT. The US is expected to have gained more than 300,000 jobs rebounding from the impact of hurricanes in […]

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BOE Expected to Hike on Thursday But by How Many Votes?

The Bank of England (BOE) is widely expected to raise interest rates from record lows Thursday, but market participants will be closely watching for clues on what the U.K. central bank will do next. This will be one of the BOE’s most significant meetings in some time — not only because of the likely rate […]

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US Construction Spending rose 0.3% in September

The Commerce Department said on Wednesday that construction spending increased 0.3 percent to $1.22 trillion. But August’s construction outlays were revised down to show a 0.1 percent gain instead of the previously reported 0.5 percent rise. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast construction spending unchanged in September. Construction spending increased 2.0 percent on a year-on-year […]

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US Dollar at 3 Month High After Dovish ECB Awaits Fed and Jobs Report

US tax reforms advance as ECB avoids taper tantrum The US dollar is trading higher against all major pairs in a week with little data. The week ahead in markets will be full of indicators as well as political events that will impact markets. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will release its monetary policy statement […]

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Trump Fed Chair Pick Down to Two Candidates

The race to see who will lead the Federal Reserve in 2018 and beyond is becoming a process of elimination, with two and perhaps three candidates remaining. President Donald Trump apparently has solidified his thinking and is now choosing between Fed Governor Jerome “Jay” Powell and Stanford economist John Taylor. However, several twists have been […]

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EUR/USD Dollar Lower Against Euro Awaiting ECB Decision

European Central Bank Anticipated to Taper But Extend Duration The US dollar is mixed against major pairs on Wednesday. The greenback is weaker against the pound, euro, yen and Swiss franc and appreciated versus the commodity pairs (kiwi, aussie and the loonie). The Bank of Canada (BoC) kept rates unchanged and provided dovish comments that […]

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USD/CAD Canadian Dollar Drops After Wholesale Sales Miss and Dollar Resurgence

The Canadian dollar is softer on Monday after last week’s events boosted the USD against the loonie. Tax reform optimism and a message from the Trump administration that a Fed Chair candidate will be announced shortly put US yields higher. The three people short-list includes: Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell, economist John Taylor and current […]

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Oil Higher on Iraq Disruption Following Military Intervention

Oil prices closed in on the highest level in six months as a conflict in Iraq spilled over into one of the nation’s key crude-producing hubs. Iraqi forces on Sunday launched a campaign to retake control of the area surrounding Kirkuk, an ethnically diverse area controlled by the semiautonomous Iraqi Kurdistan region. Government troops took […]

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NAFTA Uncertainty Hitting MXN

Mexico’s Finance Minister Jose Antonio Meade said on Monday that the peso’s recent depreciation reflects uncertainty about the NAFTA renegotiation process and questions about how quickly the U.S. Federal Reserve will normalize rates. “The exchange rate reflects different kinds of uncertainties, many of which we cannot control, such as the normalization process of interest rates […]

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Muted US Inflation Derails Dollar Recovery

Global Political Uncertainty in Driving Seat The US dollar is trading lower on Friday after the consumer price index (CPI) and the preferred inflation metric the core CPI came slightly under expectations. Fed speakers had been divided in their comments leading up to the release. Doves thought it was a mistake to keep raising rates […]

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